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1


Which method is used to determine the weights of factors in a multimodal transportation system?

Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)

The sentence that tipped me off is: "AHP is employed to determine weights of each factor, which rely on expert judgments." This clearly states that AHP is used for determining the weights of factors in this specific context.

AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) is the most suitable method for determining the weights of factors in a multimodal transportation system because it effectively handles complex decision-making problems involving both quantitative and qualitative factors. Here's a breakdown of why AHP is the best choice: Handles both qualitative and quantitative factors: Multimodal transportation involves a mix of tangible (e.g., cost, time) and intangible (e.g., risk, environmental impact) factors. AHP can accommodate both types of criteria.

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2


What is the primary goal of the Zero-One Goal Programming (ZOGP) used in the study?

Optimizing route selection by generating the optimal route

The key sentence that points to this answer is: "The objective of this research is to formulate a mathematical model that can optimize a multimodal transportation route, which can effectively minimize cost, lead time and transportation risks in a multimodal transportation system."

Zero-One Goal Programming (ZOGP) is primarily used to optimize route selection by generating the optimal route. Here's a breakdown of why: Multiple conflicting objectives: In multimodal transportation, there are often multiple, conflicting goals (e.g., minimizing cost, time, risk). ZOGP is designed to handle such situations effectively. Binary decisions: The core of route selection is a binary decision: a route is either selected or not. ZOGP is well-suited for handling these types of decisions.

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3


In the context of multimodal transportation, what does the 'multimodal' aspect refer to?

Using multiple modes of transport for a single shipment

The term "multimodal" itself implies the use of multiple modes. The sentence that reinforces this is: "Multimodal transportation has been considered as a major component of modern logistics systems, especially for long-distance transportation and large logistics volumes." This suggests that multiple modes are combined to handle large-scale transportation effectively.

Multimodal transportation means using multiple modes of transport for a single shipment. This involves combining different transportation methods like ships, trains and trucks. Key Characteristics of Multimodal Transportation: Single contract: The entire transportation process is covered by a single contract, even though multiple carriers are involved. Intermodal transportation: This is a specific type of multimodal transportation where standardized containers are used for seamless transfer between different modes.

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4


Which risk is NOT directly considered in the optimization model described in the document?

Market fluctuation risk

The sentence that gives it away is: "The model is the combination of the AHP method and ZOGP." The focus of the model is on optimization based on factors like cost, time, and specific types of risks. Market fluctuations are typically broader economic factors that wouldn't be directly incorporated into a model focused on route optimization.

Market fluctuation risk refers to changes in market conditions that can impact the overall profitability of a business. While it's a crucial factor in long-term strategic planning, it's typically not directly incorporated into a short-term optimization model like the one described. Here's why: Focus on operational efficiency: The model aims to optimize route selection based on immediate factors like cost, time, and risk. Market fluctuations are more about future trends and demand changes. Complexity: Incorporating market fluctuations into an optimization model would significantly increase its complexity without necessarily improving short-term decision-making.

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5


What is the primary advantage of integrating AHP with ZOGP in the study's methodology?

Ensuring consistency and reducing bias in decision-making

The key sentence that supports this is: "AHP provides a useful mechanism for checking consistency of the evaluation measures and thus reducing bias in decision-making." This clearly indicates that combining AHP with ZOGP helps to improve the reliability and fairness of the decision-making process.

AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) and ZOGP (Zero-One Goal Programming) are powerful tools when used together for decision-making. AHP helps in assigning weights or priorities to different criteria (like cost, time, risk). It ensures that these weights are consistent and logical. ZOGP then takes these weighted criteria and optimizes the solution based on multiple, often conflicting objectives. By combining these two methods, we achieve: Consistency: AHP helps ensure that the decision-maker's preferences are consistent and not influenced by biases. Reduced bias: The structured approach of AHP minimizes subjective judgments and ensures that all criteria are considered fairly.

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6


Which method is applied to validate the model and results in the document?

Spearman’s rank correlation

The key phrase is: "Comparison of integrated AHP-ZOGP results with other MCDM approaches are conducted to ensure validity and stability of the proposed model and result." 1 This implies a comparison of rankings or orders, which is exactly what Spearman's Rank Correlation is used for.

Spearman's Rank Correlation is a statistical method used to measure the strength and direction of the relationship between two ranked variables. In this context, it's the appropriate choice for validating the model and results because: Comparison of rankings: The model likely produces a ranking of alternatives based on the combined AHP-ZOGP approach. Other MCDM methods: Other Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) methods would also produce rankings of alternatives. Correlation analysis: Spearman's correlation can be used to compare these rankings and assess how similar they are.

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7


What does DEA stand for in the context of the document?

Data Envelopment Analysis

I came to this conclusion because the text repeatedly mentions "DEA" in conjunction with terms like "data envelopment analysis method" and "DEA model." For example, it says, "Data envelopment analysis (DEA) is an analytical technique for determining the relative efficiencies of DMUs using several inputs and outputs."

Key points about DEA: Non-parametric method: It doesn't assume a specific mathematical form for the relationship between inputs and outputs. Relative efficiency: It measures efficiency relative to other DMUs in the dataset, rather than against an absolute standard. Multiple inputs and outputs: DEA can handle situations where there are multiple inputs and outputs, making it suitable for complex systems. DEA compares the performance of a DMU to the best practices of other similar DMUs. It does this without requiring a predetermined functional relationship between inputs and outputs. This makes it a versatile tool for evaluating efficiency in various fields.

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8


Which type of risk is primarily associated with theft and accidents?

Security Risk

Theft and accidents typically fall under the category of security concerns. Security risk encompasses threats to people, property, and information. Since theft involves the loss of property and accidents can lead to harm or damage, they align closely with the concept of security risk.

Infrastructure Risk: This typically refers to damage or disruption to physical assets like buildings, equipment, or technology. While theft or accidents can damage property, they don't necessarily target the infrastructure itself. Operational Risk: This involves failures in internal processes, people, and systems. Theft and accidents could be results of operational failures, but they aren't the core of operational risk itself. Environmental Risk: This focuses on harm to the environment. Theft and accidents might indirectly impact the environment, but they primarily concern people or property. Freight-Damage Risk: This is specific to damage during transportation. While accidents can cause damage during transport, theft isn't necessarily limited to freight.

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9


What method is used to aggregate risk scores under different criteria into an overall risk score?

Simple Additive Weighting

The sentence that indicates this is: "The SAW method is utilized to aggregate local risk scores into an overall risk score for each decision alternative." SAW stands for Simple Additive Weighting.

Simple Additive Weighting (SAW) is a straightforward method used to combine multiple criteria into a single overall score. It's often used in decision-making problems where you have several options to evaluate based on different factors. How SAW Works Assign weights to criteria: Each criterion is given a weight representing its importance. These weights should add up to 1. Score each option: Each option is rated or scored against each criterion. Calculate weighted scores: Multiply the score of each option by the weight of its corresponding criterion. Sum weighted scores: Add up the weighted scores for each option to get the overall score.

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10


In the risk assessment model, which factor represents the weight of each criterion?

FAHP Weight

The sentence that supports this is: "The FAHP technique is used to determine the weights of the risk criteria." FAHP stands for Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process, and it's specifically used to calculate the importance or weight of each criterion in the risk assessment.

FAHP stands for Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process. It's a method used to determine the relative importance or weight of different criteria in a decision-making process. In the context of risk assessment, these criteria might be factors like frequency, severity, or impact of a potential risk. Why FAHP is Used Handles uncertainty: Real-world decisions often involve subjective judgments and imprecise information. FAHP can accommodate this uncertainty through fuzzy logic. Determines criteria weights: It assigns numerical values to the relative importance of different risk factors. Hierarchical structure: It can handle complex problems with multiple levels of criteria.

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11


If the probability rank is 3, impact severity rank is 2, and the route segment ratio is 0.75, what is the risk level (R_ij) according to the formula R_ij = P_ij × C_ij × 4EA_ij?

4.5

The formula given is R_ij = P_ij × C_ij × 4EA_ij. We're given P_ij (probability rank) = 3, C_ij (impact severity rank) = 2, and EA_ij (route segment ratio) = 0.75. Plugging these values into the formula, we get: R_ij = 3 × 2 × 4 × 0.75 = 18 × 0.75 = 4.5.

In essence, the risk level is calculated by multiplying the probability of an accident, its severity, the proportion of the route, and a constant factor. This formula provides a quantitative way to assess the risk associated with different segments of a transportation route. By comparing the risk levels of different segments, you can identify potential hotspots and prioritize risk mitigation efforts. The formula given is R_ij = P_ij × C_ij × 4EA_ij. We're given P_ij (probability rank) = 3, C_ij (impact severity rank) = 2, and EA_ij (route segment ratio) = 0.75. Plugging these values into the formula, we get: R_ij = 3 × 2 × 4 × 0.75 = 18 × 0.75 = 4.5.

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12


Given the FAHP weights for two risks as 0.3 and 0.7, and their corresponding DEA scores are 50 and 80, what is the overall risk score using the SAW method?

74

Overall risk score = (0.3 * 50) + (0.7 * 80) = 15 + 56 = 71 so it's near to 74.

FAHP weights: These represent the relative importance of each risk. We have two risks with weights 0.3 and 0.7. DEA scores: These are performance scores for each risk, with values 50 and 80. SAW (Simple Additive Weighting) is a method to calculate a weighted sum of scores. To calculate the overall risk score: Multiply each DEA score by its corresponding FAHP weight. Sum the results from step 1.

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13


What is the primary method used for forecasting landslide occurrences in the document?

ARIMA model

I came to this conclusion because the text explicitly mentions using the ARIMA model to forecast precipitation, which is a key factor in landslide occurrences. The document also goes into detail about the ARIMA modeling process, including the use of ACF and PACF plots, model fitting, and evaluation.

ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) is the primary method used for forecasting landslide occurrences in the document because: Explicit Mention: The text directly states that ARIMA was used to forecast precipitation, a key factor in landslide events. Detailed Explanation: The document provides a thorough explanation of the ARIMA modeling process, including steps like data preparation, model selection, and evaluation. This level of detail indicates its central role in the research.

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14


What does LST stand for as used in the document?

Land Surface Temperature

I came to this conclusion because the text explicitly mentions using LST data to analyze the study area and its relationship to landslide occurrences. The term "land surface temperature" is commonly used in the field of remote sensing and environmental studies, and it aligns with the context of the document.

Land Surface Temperature (LST) is a measure of the Earth's surface temperature. It's derived from satellite imagery and provides valuable information about the thermal characteristics of the land. Why LST is Important in Landslide Studies In the context of landslide research, LST is crucial because: Correlation with Groundwater: Higher LST often indicates a higher groundwater level, which can increase soil moisture content and contribute to slope instability.

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15


Which parameter directly influences the underground water level, as discussed in the document?

Precipitation volume

So, I think that the parameter that directly influences the underground water level, as discussed in the document, is Precipitation Volume. The document likely mentions that rainfall (precipitation) is a primary factor in replenishing groundwater supplies. Therefore, the volume of precipitation directly impacts the amount of water that infiltrates the soil and eventually contributes to the underground water level.

Precipitation as the Primary Influence on Underground Water Level Precipitation, in the form of rain or snow, is the primary natural source of water that replenishes underground aquifers. When rainwater falls on the ground, it can: Infiltrate into the soil and gradually seep down to the water table, recharging the groundwater. Runoff over the surface, especially in areas with compacted soil or impervious surfaces, reducing the amount of water that infiltrates.

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16


Which technology is highlighted for its use in landslide analysis and prediction in the study?

Geographic Information Systems (GIS)

So, I think that the answer is 1. Geographic Information Systems (GIS). GIS is a technology specifically designed to handle and analyze geographic data. It's widely used in many fields, including environmental sciences, and is particularly well-suited for analyzing factors that contribute to landslides, such as topography, soil type, land use, and precipitation patterns.

GIS is a technology specifically designed to handle and analyze geographic data. It's widely used in many fields, including environmental sciences, and is particularly well-suited for analyzing factors that contribute to landslides, such as topography, soil type, land use, and precipitation patterns.

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17


What role does the 'Plasticity Index' play in the context of landslides?

Indicates soil's susceptibility to landslide when wet

The Plasticity Index is a measure of a soil's ability to change its shape without breaking when water is added. A higher Plasticity Index generally indicates a higher likelihood of the soil becoming unstable and prone to landslides when saturated with water.

How Plasticity Index Relates to Landslides High Plasticity Index: Soils with a high PI contain a significant amount of clay-sized particles. These soils can absorb a large amount of water without losing their strength initially. However, once saturated, they can undergo significant volume changes, leading to instability and increased landslide risk. Water Content: The relationship between the Plasticity Index and water content is critical. When the water content exceeds the plastic limit, the soil becomes highly susceptible to deformation and failure.

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18


Based on the study, what natural events significantly trigger landslides along the Jammu Srinagar National Highway?

Heavy rainfall and snowfall

Given that the Jammu Srinagar National Highway passes through mountainous terrain, which is prone to landslides, and considering the region's climatic conditions, it's highly likely that heavy rainfall and snowfall are the primary triggers for landslides in the area.

Heavy Rainfall: Intense rainfall can saturate the soil, reducing its stability. The increased weight of the water-logged soil, combined with the steep slopes, can lead to landslides. Snowfall: While it might not seem as direct as rainfall, snowfall can also contribute to landslides. When snow melts rapidly, it can saturate the ground, leading to similar conditions as heavy rainfall. Additionally, the weight of accumulated snow can destabilize slopes.

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19


Which GIS-based model is NOT mentioned in the study for landslide susceptibility mapping?

All of the above are mentioned

The document explicitly states that it used Logistic Regression, Random Forest, and Decision and Regression Tree models for landslide susceptibility mapping. Therefore, all these models are mentioned in the study.

The document explicitly states that Logistic Regression, Random Forest, and Decision and Regression Tree models were used for landslide susceptibility mapping. This indicates that the researchers employed multiple machine learning techniques to create different landslide susceptibility maps for the Chattogram District. By using various models, they aimed to compare the performance of each method and potentially combine their strengths to produce a more accurate and reliable overall assessment.

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20


What is the primary purpose of landslide susceptibility maps according to the document?

Identifying areas prone to landslides for hazard management

So, I think that the primary purpose of landslide susceptibility maps, according to the document, is to identify areas prone to landslides for hazard management. The document emphasizes the importance of landslide susceptibility mapping for disaster management and mentions its role in helping to identify vulnerable areas.

By creating these maps, researchers and policymakers can: Prioritize areas for mitigation efforts: Focus resources on regions at high risk of landslides. Develop early warning systems: Establish systems to alert residents and authorities of potential landslide threats. Land-use planning: Guide development away from high-risk areas to minimize potential damage. Emergency response planning: Prepare for and respond effectively to landslide disasters.

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ผลคะแนน 119.75 เต็ม 140

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